USD Trading Outlook (07-09-2015)

Medium Term Strategy: Forex Pair of the day

NZD/USD – further weakness
The pair remains in a long-term down trend.

The declining 20-day moving average is actively capping the pair and is offering strong resistance.

The daily RSI stands below its neutrality area.

As a consequence, further weakness is expected with 0.62 as a first target (2009 overlap area) and 0.5840 in extension.

A third target is set at April 2009 bottom at 0.55.

Only a break above the horizontal resistance at 0.6980 would invalidate this scenario and allow a limited recovery towards the strong horizontal resistance and overlap at 0.72 and towards the resistance at 0.7570 in extension.

 

 TC 7Sep NZDUSD
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