Daily Outlook

January 16, 2017

GBP/USD opened up 200 pips lower as news emerged over the weekend that UK PM was likely to steer the UK out of the EU single market and gain full access over its borders and trade deals.

This amounts to what is called a “hard Brexit” and will create the most turmoil and uncertianty for the UK financial services industry. GBP/USD has tested 1.1980 so far before a small bounce in Asia has led to some reprieve.

Still with two days before the speech the chances of further falls if this claim is not denied is real. The concerns are spilling across into stocks with Nikkei down sharply and USD/JPY being dragged lower with heavy GBP/JPY selling pressure.

AUD/USD has opened up steady at the key 0.7500 resistance with the next move very unsure after a large reversal of the downtrend from 0.7170 in the past two weeks

 

GBP/USD 1/16/2017 12:37 AM 
Trend daily chart (=)  Trend weekly chart (=)
GBP/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1.2140

Our preference: short positions below 1.2140 with targets at 1.1995 & 1.1965 in extension.

Alternative scenario: above 1.2140 look for further upside with 1.2180 & 1.2230 as targets.

Comment: the RSI has broken down its 30 level.

Supports and resistances:
1.2230 *
1.2180 **
1.2140 ***
1.2043 Last
1.1995 *
1.1965 **
1.1910 **

Ticker : GBP  Add to my portfolio

 

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